I think a lot boomers are living in fantasy-land when it comes to the realities of a retirement without earning supplemental income. We’ve always been about living in the now. But If you’ve estimated how much income you’ll need to maintain your standard of living after you retire — and how long that income must last with our extended life expectancy, it’s a pretty daunting revelation.
For a 55-year-old who earns $150,000 a year, planning to retire at 65 on 80% of current salary, and looking for that income to last until age 95 (who knows) – the number is, shockingly, around $3 million – if you assume a 4% annual withdrawal rate. I’m excluding social security, any pensions, and any home equity you can take out when you downsize (good luck with that). I’m also not including taxes on the IRA withdrawals (which you have to pay on your gains unless it’s a Roth IRA).
I know $150,000 is a lot of money in many parts of the US, but in the SF Bay area it’s enough to live a solid middle-class lifestyle, where the median home price is in the $650K range and gas is $4.20 a gallon. But if you think that’s crazy and you can get by on half of that amount, or $75K a year, you’ll still need a cool $1.5 million. If you’re in some other area of the country where the cost of living is even lower, then maybe you can cut it in half again, and get by with a mere $750K target in your nest egg. Having that amount might give you about $30K total income per year – again excluding social security, pension (if any) and taxes.
And how do we stack up against that? Here are a few enlightening measures (from various sources noted) to give a general picture:
- 36 percent of Americans say that they don’t contribute anything to retirement savings beyond their social security (Employee Benefit Research Institute, Washington DC)
- Only about 15 percent of Americans currently have a traditional pension plan, according to the Employee Benefit Research Institute.
- The average 401K balance is about $72,000. (Money Magazine, October 2011)
- The average homeowner now has 38 percent equity, down from 61 percent a decade ago according to the Federal Reserve (June 2011). If your home is worth $250K, that’s about $95K in equity, assuming you can sell and cash out without using that money for somewhere else to live.
We need to get real, or plan to live on a lot less.